Yes, there has been a deep downgrade of next year growth by UBS. Even as rating agencies have been talking about 5% growth next year, UBS has cut growth all the way down to 4% for FY21. This will be the lowest full year growth in nearly a decade for India. As per UBS, COVID-19 was likely to linger all through next year and may take a long time for industry to regain momentum. UBS targets 4.8% for the fiscal year 2019-20 but now even that may be tough with shutdowns across India. UBS also expects consumption to take a hit and that is already visible in the empty malls across cities.
Yes, there has been a deep downgrade of next year growth by UBS. Even as rating agencies have been talking about 5% growth next year, UBS has cut growth all the way down to 4% for FY21. This will be the lowest full year growth in nearly a decade for India. As per UBS, COVID-19 was likely to linger all through next year and may take a long time for industry to regain momentum. UBS targets 4.8% for the fiscal year 2019-20 but now even that may be tough with shutdowns across India. UBS also expects consumption to take a hit and that is already visible in the empty malls across cities.